Fox News 2024 Voter Analysis

View Fox News Voter Analysis election page regularly to stay informed about the latest trends, voter sentiments, and key insights that will shape the 2024 primary elections.

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About FNVA

The Fox News Voter Analysis (FNVA) is a survey of the American electorate conducted by NORC at the University of Chicago for Fox News and the Associated Press. It provides a comprehensive look at political opinions and voting behavior across the United States. For the 2024 Republican presidential primaries and caucuses, the FNVA results are based primarily on interviews with a random sample of registered voters eligible to vote in a state’s primary or caucus, drawn from state voter files. These probability sample results are supplemented by interviews with self-identified registered voters recruited from nonprobability online panels. Interviews are conducted in English and Spanish, beginning approximately six days before the primary or caucus and concluding as polls close. The survey includes interviews with approximately 2,000 respondents in each state.

South Carolina Republican Primary

Do you describe yourself as a man, a woman, nonbinary or in another way?

+	Men		1,345	46%

+	Women		1,075	53%

+	Nonbinary/Other		13	1%

Sample: 2433 respondents

What is your age?

+	18-29		171	11%

+	30-44		312	18%

+	45-64		914	36%

+	65+		1,027	35%

Sample: 2424 respondents

What is your age?

+	18-44		483	29%

+	45+		1,941	71%

Sample: 2424 respondents

Gender, age 2 categories

+	18-44 men		242	13%

+	18-44 women		235	16%

+	45+ men		1,095	33%

+	45+ women		835	38%

+	All others		12	1%

Sample: 2419 respondents

What is your racial or ethnic heritage?

+	White		2,167	91%

+	African American or Black		67	5%

+	Latino or Hispanic		64	2%

+	Other		132	3%

Sample: 2430 respondents

What is your racial or ethnic heritage?

+	White		2,167	91%

+	Non-white		263	9%

Sample: 2430 respondents

Gender, race 2 categories

+	White men		1,212	42%

+	White women		944	48%

+	Non-white men		126	4%

+	Non-white women		130	5%

+	All others		13	1%

Sample: 2425 respondents

Age 2 categories, race 2 categories

+	White 18-44		385	24%

+	White 45+		1,770	66%

+	Non-white 18-44		97	5%

+	Non-white 45+		165	5%

Sample: 2417 respondents

Which best describes your level of education?

+	High school or less		433	27%

+	Some college/assoc. degree		806	35%

+	College graduate		692	24%

+	Postgraduate study		504	14%

Sample: 2435 respondents

Which best describes your level of education?

+	No college degree		1,239	62%

+	College degree		1,196	38%

Sample: 2435 respondents

Gender, education 2 categories

+	Non college men		632	26%

+	College men		711	20%

+	Non college women		595	36%

+	College women		479	17%

+	All others		13	1%

Sample: 2430 respondents

Age 2 categories, education 2 categories

+	18-44 non college		259	19%

+	18-44 college		224	10%

+	45+ non college		974	43%

+	45+ college		965	28%

Sample: 2422 respondents

Education 2 categories, race 2 categories

+	White non college		1,087	56%

+	White college		1,078	35%

+	Non-white non college		149	7%

+	Non-white college		113	3%

Sample: 2427 respondents

Gender, education 2 categories, race 2 categories

+	White non college men		559	23%

+	White non college women		521	32%

+	White college men		652	19%

+	White college women		422	16%

+	Non-white non college men		71	3%

+	Non-white non college women		73	4%

+	Non-white college men		54	1%

+	Non-white college women		57	2%

+	All others		13	1%

Sample: 2422 respondents

Generally speaking, do you consider yourself a Democrat, a Republican, or don't you consider yourself either? Would you say you're closer to the Democrats, to the Republicans, or don't you lean toward either?

+	Democrat/Lean Dem		208	8%

+	Republican/Lean Rep		2,028	86%

+	Independent		202	6%

Sample: 2438 respondents

Party with leaners, gender

+	Democratic women		119	5%

+	Democratic men		86	3%

+	Republican women		869	46%

+	Republican men		1,150	40%

+	All others		209	6%

Sample: 2433 respondents

Generally speaking, do you consider yourself to be a liberal, moderate, or conservative?

+	Very liberal		46	2%

+	Somewhat liberal		90	4%

+	Moderate		589	25%

+	Somewhat conservative		840	37%

+	Very conservative		863	32%

Sample: 2428 respondents

Generally speaking, do you consider yourself to be a liberal, moderate, or conservative?

+	Liberal		136	7%

+	Moderate		589	25%

+	Conservative		1,703	68%

Sample: 2428 respondents

Which of the following best describes the area where you live?

+	Urban		141	6%

+	Suburban		1,014	44%

+	Small town/Rural		1,272	50%

Sample: 2427 respondents

Gender, sizeplace 3 categories

+	Urban men		72	2%

+	Suburban men		570	20%

+	Small town/Rural men		698	24%

+	Urban women		67	4%

+	Suburban women		437	23%

+	Small town/Rural women		566	26%

+	All others		13	1%

Sample: 2423 respondents

Race 2 categories, sizeplace 3 categories

+	White urban		122	6%

+	White suburban		915	40%

+	White small town/rural		1,122	45%

+	Non-white urban		18	0%

+	Non-white suburban		98	4%

+	Non-white small town/rural		144	5%

Sample: 2419 respondents

Do you consider yourself a born-again or evangelical Christian, or not?

+	White evangelical/white born-again Christians		1,207	49%

+	All others		1,203	51%

Sample: 2410 respondents

Do you or does any other member of your household own a handgun, rifle, shotgun, or any other kind of firearm?

+	Gun owner, self		1,227	46%

+	Gun in household		339	19%

+	No		765	35%

Sample: 2331 respondents

Do you or does any other member of your household own a handgun, rifle, shotgun, or any other kind of firearm?

+	Gun in household		1,566	65%

+	No gun in household		765	35%

Sample: 2331 respondents

Have you, or has any member of your household, ever served in the U.S. military?

+	Veteran, self		457	13%

+	Veteran in household		421	20%

+	No		1,556	67%

Sample: 2434 respondents

Have you, or has any member of your household, ever served in the U.S. military?

+	Veteran household		878	33%

+	Non veteran household		1,556	67%

Sample: 2434 respondents

Which one of the following would you say is the most important issue facing the country?

+	The economy and jobs		626	29%

+	Health care		94	4%

+	Immigration		1,215	45%

+	Abortion		79	4%

+	Crime		70	4%

+	Gun policy		94	4%

+	Foreign policy		195	8%

+	School policy		19	1%

+	Energy policy		30	1%

Sample: 2426 respondents

Which best describes your family's financial situation? Are you...

+	Getting ahead		286	10%

+	Holding steady		1,499	61%

+	Falling behind		645	29%

Sample: 2431 respondents

For each of the following, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion. If you don't know enough to have an opinion, you can say that too. Donald Trump

+	Very favorable		1,188	47%

+	Somewhat favorable		395	19%

+	Somewhat unfavorable		193	8%

+	Very unfavorable		631	25%

+	Don't know enough to say		20	1%

Sample: 2427 respondents

For each of the following, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion. If you don't know enough to have an opinion, you can say that too. Donald Trump

+	Very/Somewhat favorable		1,583	66%

+	Very/Somewhat unfavorable		824	33%

+	Don't know enough to say		20	1%

Sample: 2427 respondents

For each of the following, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion. If you don't know enough to have an opinion, you can say that too. Nikki Haley

+	Very favorable		599	25%

+	Somewhat favorable		724	30%

+	Somewhat unfavorable		429	16%

+	Very unfavorable		614	25%

+	Don't know enough to say		46	2%

Sample: 2412 respondents

For each of the following, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion. If you don't know enough to have an opinion, you can say that too. Nikki Haley

+	Very/Somewhat favorable		1,323	55%

+	Very/Somewhat unfavorable		1,043	42%

+	Don't know enough to say		46	2%

Sample: 2412 respondents

For each of the following, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion. If you don't know enough to have an opinion, you can say that too. Lindsey Graham

+	Very favorable		317	14%

+	Somewhat favorable		723	29%

+	Somewhat unfavorable		592	23%

+	Very unfavorable		652	25%

+	Don't know enough to say		132	8%

Sample: 2416 respondents

For each of the following, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion. If you don't know enough to have an opinion, you can say that too. Lindsey Graham

+	Very/Somewhat favorable		1,040	43%

+	Very/Somewhat unfavorable		1,244	48%

+	Don't know enough to say		132	8%

Sample: 2416 respondents

For each of the following, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion. If you don't know enough to have an opinion, you can say that too. Tim Scott

+	Very favorable		973	34%

+	Somewhat favorable		650	27%

+	Somewhat unfavorable		283	11%

+	Very unfavorable		297	12%

+	Don't know enough to say		211	15%

Sample: 2414 respondents

For each of the following, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion. If you don't know enough to have an opinion, you can say that too. Tim Scott

+	Very/Somewhat favorable		1,623	61%

+	Very/Somewhat unfavorable		580	23%

+	Don't know enough to say		211	15%

Sample: 2414 respondents

For each of the following, please tell me how you would feel if that candidate were the Republican Party's presidential nominee? Donald Trump

+	Satisfied and would vote for them in November		1,456	61%

+	Dissatisfied but would still vote for them in November		330	13%

+	Dissatisfied enough that you would not vote for them in November		625	25%

Sample: 2413 respondents

For each of the following, please tell me how you would feel if that candidate were the Republican Party's presidential nominee? Donald Trump

+	Satisfied		1,456	61%

+	Not satisfied		955	38%

Sample: 2413 respondents

For each of the following, please tell me how you would feel if that candidate were the Republican Party's presidential nominee? Donald Trump

+	Would ultimately vote for them		1,786	74%

+	Would not ultimately vote for them		625	25%

Sample: 2413 respondents

For each of the following, please tell me how you would feel if that candidate were the Republican Party's presidential nominee? Nikki Haley

+	Satisfied and would vote for them in November		933	39%

+	Dissatisfied but would still vote for them in November		757	29%

+	Dissatisfied enough that you would not vote for them in November		696	30%

Sample: 2393 respondents

For each of the following, please tell me how you would feel if that candidate were the Republican Party's presidential nominee? Nikki Haley

+	Satisfied		933	39%

+	Not satisfied		1,453	58%

Sample: 2393 respondents

For each of the following, please tell me how you would feel if that candidate were the Republican Party's presidential nominee? Nikki Haley

+	Would ultimately vote for them		1,690	68%

+	Would not ultimately vote for them		696	30%

Sample: 2393 respondents

Regardless of who you support, how concerned are you that each candidate is too extreme to win the general election? Donald Trump

+	Very concerned		740	30%

+	Somewhat concerned		420	18%

+	Not too concerned		385	16%

+	Not at all concerned		875	34%

Sample: 2423 respondents

Regardless of who you support, how concerned are you that each candidate is too extreme to win the general election? Donald Trump

+	Very concerned or somewhat concerned		1,160	49%

+	Not too concerned or not at all concerned		1,260	50%

Sample: 2423 respondents

Regardless of who you support, how concerned are you that each candidate is too extreme to win the general election? Nikki Haley

+	Very concerned		324	14%

+	Somewhat concerned		448	19%

+	Not too concerned		774	33%

+	Not at all concerned		866	32%

Sample: 2414 respondents

Regardless of who you support, how concerned are you that each candidate is too extreme to win the general election? Nikki Haley

+	Very concerned or somewhat concerned		772	33%

+	Not too concerned or not at all concerned		1,640	66%

Sample: 2414 respondents

Would you say Donald Trump: Has the mental capability to serve effectively as president

+	Yes		1,714	70%

+	No		699	29%

Sample: 2416 respondents

Would you say Donald Trump: Can win the general election in November

+	Yes		1,827	77%

+	No		570	22%

Sample: 2406 respondents

Would you say Donald Trump: Would keep the country safe

+	Yes		1,819	76%

+	No		592	24%

Sample: 2419 respondents

Would you say Donald Trump: Would stand up and fight for people like you

+	Yes		1,785	74%

+	No		630	26%

Sample: 2418 respondents

Would you say Nikki Haley: Has the mental capability to serve effectively as president

+	Yes		1,970	78%

+	No		428	20%

Sample: 2405 respondents

Would you say Nikki Haley: Can win the general election in November

+	Yes		1,185	47%

+	No		1,185	51%

Sample: 2400 respondents

Would you say Nikki Haley: Would keep the country safe

+	Yes		1,510	62%

+	No		854	35%

Sample: 2393 respondents

Would you say Nikki Haley: Would stand up and fight for people like you

+	Yes		1,335	55%

+	No		1,032	41%

Sample: 2393 respondents

Would you describe your vote mainly as FOR your candidate or AGAINST their opponent?

+	For your candidate		1,842	74%

+	Against their opponent		587	25%

Sample: 2432 respondents

Do you think Joe Biden was legitimately elected president, or not?

+	Yes, legitimately elected		944	39%

+	No, not legitimately elected		1,426	58%

Sample: 2394 respondents

Do you consider yourself to be a supporter of the Make America Great Again, or MAGA, movement, or not?

+	Yes		1,410	58%

+	No		997	40%

Sample: 2414 respondents

Do you think Donald Trump has done something illegal, or he has done something unethical but not illegal, or do you think he has not done anything wrong when it comes to: The classified documents found at his Florida home

+	Illegal		641	27%

+	Unethical, but not illegal		697	30%

+	Nothing wrong		1,064	41%

Sample: 2402 respondents

Do you think Donald Trump has done something illegal, or he has done something unethical but not illegal, or do you think he has not done anything wrong when it comes to: His role in what happened at the U.S. Capitol on January 6, 2021

+	Illegal		484	20%

+	Unethical, but not illegal		584	27%

+	Nothing wrong		1,336	51%

Sample: 2404 respondents

Do you think Donald Trump has done something illegal, or he has done something unethical but not illegal, or do you think he has not done anything wrong when it comes to: His alleged attempt to interfere in the vote count in the 2020 presidential election

+	Illegal		589	26%

+	Unethical, but not illegal		563	22%

+	Nothing wrong		1,249	50%

Sample: 2401 respondents

When it comes to each of the following, do you think Donald Trump has done something illegal, or he has done something unethical, but not illegal, or do you think he has not done anything wrong?

+	Illegal on all		403	16%

+	Nothing wrong on all		858	32%

+	All others		1,177	52%

Sample: 2438 respondents

When it comes to each of the following, do you think Donald Trump has done something illegal, or he has done something unethical, but not illegal, or do you think he has not done anything wrong?

+	Illegal on at least one		755	33%

+	All others		1,683	67%

Sample: 2438 respondents

In general, which better describes your view of the charges against Donald Trump?

+	They're legitimate attempts to investigate important issues		606	25%

+	They're political attempts to undermine Trump		1,807	74%

Sample: 2417 respondents

Do you think immigrants in the U.S. today do more to...

+	Help the country		526	22%

+	Hurt the country		1,820	75%

Sample: 2371 respondents

Do you favor or oppose each of the following? Building a wall along the U.S.-Mexico border

+	Strongly favor		1,714	67%

+	Somewhat favor		343	16%

+	Somewhat oppose		195	9%

+	Strongly oppose		168	7%

Sample: 2422 respondents

Do you favor or oppose each of the following? Building a wall along the U.S.-Mexico border

+	Strongly/Somewhat favor		2,057	83%

+	Strongly/Somewhat oppose		363	16%

Sample: 2422 respondents

Which comes closest to your opinion on abortion? Should abortion be...

+	Legal in all cases		213	9%

+	Legal in most cases		690	29%

+	Illegal in most cases		1,161	47%

+	Illegal in all cases		333	13%

Sample: 2404 respondents

Which comes closest to your opinion on abortion? Should abortion be...

+	Legal in all/most cases		903	38%

+	Illegal in all/most cases		1,494	60%

Sample: 2404 respondents

Do you favor or oppose each of the following? Banning most abortions after 6 weeks of pregnancy

+	Strongly favor		931	36%

+	Somewhat favor		439	18%

+	Somewhat oppose		403	16%

+	Strongly oppose		618	27%

Sample: 2406 respondents

Do you favor or oppose each of the following? Banning most abortions after 6 weeks of pregnancy

+	Strongly/Somewhat favor		1,370	55%

+	Strongly/Somewhat oppose		1,021	43%

Sample: 2406 respondents

Do you favor or oppose each of the following? Banning most abortions after 15 weeks of pregnancy

+	Strongly favor		1,345	54%

+	Somewhat favor		460	20%

+	Somewhat oppose		237	10%

+	Strongly oppose		348	14%

Sample: 2403 respondents

Do you favor or oppose each of the following? Banning most abortions after 15 weeks of pregnancy

+	Strongly/Somewhat favor		1,805	74%

+	Strongly/Somewhat oppose		585	24%

Sample: 2403 respondents

In general, do you think the United States should take a more active or less active role solving the world's problems, or is its current role about right?

+	More active		400	17%

+	Less active		1,236	50%

+	Its current role is about right		783	32%

Sample: 2428 respondents

Do you favor or oppose each of the following? Continuing aid to Ukraine in the war against Russia

+	Strongly favor		567	21%

+	Somewhat favor		649	27%

+	Somewhat oppose		522	22%

+	Strongly oppose		675	29%

Sample: 2423 respondents

Do you favor or oppose each of the following? Continuing aid to Ukraine in the war against Russia

+	Strongly/Somewhat favor		1,216	48%

+	Strongly/Somewhat oppose		1,197	51%

Sample: 2423 respondents

Do you favor or oppose each of the following? Continuing aid to Israel to fight Hamas

+	Strongly favor		1,102	41%

+	Somewhat favor		723	31%

+	Somewhat oppose		330	13%

+	Strongly oppose		252	12%

Sample: 2414 respondents

Do you favor or oppose each of the following? Continuing aid to Israel to fight Hamas

+	Strongly/Somewhat favor		1,825	72%

+	Strongly/Somewhat oppose		582	26%

Sample: 2414 respondents

As you may know, NATO, or the North Atlantic Treaty Organization, is a military alliance between the United States, Canada, and many European countries. In general, would you say being a member of NATO is good for the U.S. or bad for the U.S.?

+	Very good		933	36%

+	Somewhat good		953	39%

+	Somewhat bad		335	15%

+	Very bad		171	6%

Sample: 2416 respondents

+	Very or somewhat good		1,886	75%

+	Very or somewhat bad		506	22%

Sample: 2416 respondents

Below are some different groups of people. Is discrimination or prejudice against that group in our country a major problem, minor problem, or not a problem at all? Black or African American people

+	Major problem		498	24%

+	Minor problem		1,184	46%

+	Not a problem		731	29%

Sample: 2416 respondents

Below are some different groups of people. Is discrimination or prejudice against that group in our country a major problem, minor problem, or not a problem at all? Hispanic or Latino people

+	Major problem		445	20%

+	Minor problem		1,229	51%

+	Not a problem		736	27%

Sample: 2415 respondents

Below are some different groups of people. Is discrimination or prejudice against that group in our country a major problem, minor problem, or not a problem at all? White people

+	Major problem		546	20%

+	Minor problem		939	38%

+	Not a problem		928	41%

Sample: 2415 respondents

Below are some different groups of people. Is discrimination or prejudice against that group in our country a major problem, minor problem, or not a problem at all? Asian American people

+	Major problem		398	17%

+	Minor problem		1,176	48%

+	Not a problem		835	34%

Sample: 2414 respondents

Do you favor or oppose each of the following? Increasing funding for police

+	Strongly favor		1,561	60%

+	Somewhat favor		633	28%

+	Somewhat oppose		137	7%

+	Strongly oppose		78	3%

Sample: 2413 respondents

Do you favor or oppose each of the following? Increasing funding for police

+	Strongly/Somewhat favor		2,194	88%

+	Strongly/Somewhat oppose		215	10%

Sample: 2413 respondents

Do you favor or oppose each of the following? Raising the age when people become eligible for full Social Security benefits from 67 to 70

+	Strongly favor		176	7%

+	Somewhat favor		488	17%

+	Somewhat oppose		552	23%

+	Strongly oppose		1,196	51%

Sample: 2422 respondents

Do you favor or oppose each of the following? Raising the age when people become eligible for full Social Security benefits from 67 to 70

+	Strongly/Somewhat favor		664	24%

+	Strongly/Somewhat oppose		1,748	74%

Sample: 2422 respondents

Do you favor or oppose each of the following? Expanding U.S. production of fossil fuels, such as oil and gas

+	Strongly favor		1,622	62%

+	Somewhat favor		478	23%

+	Somewhat oppose		207	9%

+	Strongly oppose		98	5%

Sample: 2415 respondents

Do you favor or oppose each of the following? Expanding U.S. production of fossil fuels, such as oil and gas

+	Strongly/Somewhat favor		2,100	85%

+	Strongly/Somewhat oppose		305	14%

Sample: 2415 respondents

In which of these categories is your total yearly household income, that is, of everyone living in your family household? Was your total household income in 2023...

+	Under $25,000		183	10%

+	$25,000-$49,999		472	21%

+	$50,000-$74,999		475	20%

+	$75,000-$99,999		447	18%

+	$100,000 or more		809	31%

Sample: 2386 respondents

Was your total household income in 2023...

+	Under $50,000		655	31%

+	$50,000-$99,999		922	38%

+	$100,000 or more		809	31%

Sample: 2386 respondents

Was your total household income in 2023...

+	Under $50,000		655	31%

+	$50,000 or more		1,731	69%

Sample: 2386 respondents

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South Carolina Republican Primary