Fox News 2024 Voter Analysis

View Fox News Voter Analysis election page regularly to stay informed about the latest trends, voter sentiments, and key insights that will shape the 2024 primary elections.

Filter Questions

About FNVA

The Fox News Voter Analysis (FNVA) is a survey of the American electorate conducted by NORC at the University of Chicago for Fox News and the Associated Press. It provides a comprehensive look at political opinions and voting behavior across the United States. For the 2024 Republican presidential primaries and caucuses, the FNVA results are based primarily on interviews with a random sample of registered voters eligible to vote in a state’s primary or caucus, drawn from state voter files. These probability sample results are supplemented by interviews with self-identified registered voters recruited from nonprobability online panels. Interviews are conducted in English and Spanish, beginning approximately six days before the primary or caucus and concluding as polls close. The survey includes interviews with approximately 2,000 respondents in each state.

New Hampshire Republican Primary

Do you describe yourself as a man, a woman, nonbinary or in another way?

+	Men		1,156	55%

+	Women		819	44%

+	Nonbinary/Other		8	1%

Sample: 1983 respondents

What is your age?

+	18-29		111	6%

+	30-44		298	18%

+	45-64		777	40%

+	65+		789	36%

Sample: 1975 respondents

What is your age?

+	18-44		409	25%

+	45+		1,566	75%

Sample: 1975 respondents

Gender, age 2 categories

+	18-44 men		214	14%

+	18-44 women		191	11%

+	45+ men		936	41%

+	45+ women		624	34%

+	All others		8	1%

Sample: 1973 respondents

What is your racial or ethnic heritage?

+	White		1,795	97%

+	African American or Black		6	0%

+	Latino or Hispanic		49	1%

+	Other		122	2%

Sample: 1972 respondents

What is your racial or ethnic heritage?

+	White		1,795	97%

+	Non-white		177	3%

Sample: 1972 respondents

Gender, race 2 categories

+	White men		1,043	54%

+	White women		746	43%

+	Non-white men		105	1%

+	Non-white women		68	1%

+	All others		8	1%

Sample: 1970 respondents

Age 2 categories, race 2 categories

+	White 18-44		341	23%

+	White 45+		1,446	74%

+	Non-white 18-44		66	1%

+	Non-white 45+		110	1%

Sample: 1963 respondents

Which best describes your level of education?

+	High school or less		312	33%

+	Some college/assoc. degree		591	29%

+	College graduate		605	25%

+	Postgraduate study		477	14%

Sample: 1985 respondents

Which best describes your level of education?

+	No college degree		903	62%

+	College degree		1,082	38%

Sample: 1985 respondents

Gender, education 2 categories

+	Non college men		482	33%

+	College men		673	22%

+	Non college women		417	28%

+	College women		402	16%

+	All others		8	1%

Sample: 1982 respondents

Age 2 categories, education 2 categories

+	18-44 non college		183	13%

+	18-44 college		226	11%

+	45+ non college		717	48%

+	45+ college		849	27%

Sample: 1975 respondents

Education 2 categories, race 2 categories

+	White non college		823	60%

+	White college		971	38%

+	Non-white non college		76	2%

+	Non-white college		101	0%

Sample: 1971 respondents

Gender, education 2 categories, race 2 categories

+	White non college men		439	32%

+	White non college women		382	27%

+	White college men		603	21%

+	White college women		364	16%

+	Non-white non college men		41	1%

+	Non-white non college women		33	1%

+	Non-white college men		64	0%

+	Non-white college women		35	0%

+	All others		8	1%

Sample: 1969 respondents

Generally speaking, do you consider yourself a Democrat, a Republican, or don't you consider yourself either? Would you say you're closer to the Democrats, to the Republicans, or don't you lean toward either?

+	Democrat/Lean Dem		241	10%

+	Republican/Lean Rep		1,526	76%

+	Independent		219	13%

Sample: 1986 respondents

Party with leaners, gender

+	Democratic women		100	5%

+	Democratic men		136	5%

+	Republican women		628	33%

+	Republican men		896	43%

+	All others		223	14%

Sample: 1983 respondents

Generally speaking, do you consider yourself to be a liberal, moderate, or conservative?

+	Very liberal		29	2%

+	Somewhat liberal		121	6%

+	Moderate		624	34%

+	Somewhat conservative		726	36%

+	Very conservative		479	22%

Sample: 1979 respondents

Generally speaking, do you consider yourself to be a liberal, moderate, or conservative?

+	Liberal		150	8%

+	Moderate		624	34%

+	Conservative		1,205	57%

Sample: 1979 respondents

Which of the following best describes the area where you live?

+	Urban		134	6%

+	Suburban		547	29%

+	Small town/Rural		1,295	65%

Sample: 1976 respondents

Gender, sizeplace 3 categories

+	Urban men		76	4%

+	Suburban men		318	16%

+	Small town/Rural men		757	35%

+	Urban women		58	2%

+	Suburban women		225	12%

+	Small town/Rural women		532	29%

+	All others		8	1%

Sample: 1974 respondents

Race 2 categories, sizeplace 3 categories

+	White urban		114	6%

+	White suburban		493	28%

+	White small town/rural		1,181	63%

+	Non-white urban		20	0%

+	Non-white suburban		51	1%

+	Non-white small town/rural		106	2%

Sample: 1965 respondents

Do you consider yourself a born-again or evangelical Christian, or not?

+	White evangelical/white born-again Christians		353	19%

+	All others		1,609	81%

Sample: 1962 respondents

Do you or does any other member of your household own a handgun, rifle, shotgun, or any other kind of firearm?

+	Gun owner, self		750	40%

+	Gun in household		212	12%

+	No		896	48%

Sample: 1858 respondents

Do you or does any other member of your household own a handgun, rifle, shotgun, or any other kind of firearm?

+	Gun in household		962	52%

+	No gun in household		896	48%

Sample: 1858 respondents

Which best describes when you decided how you would vote?

+	Decided more than a month ago		1,169	60%

+	Decided over the last month or more recently		813	39%

Sample: 1982 respondents

Which best describes when you decided how you would vote?

+	I've known all along		772	42%

+	I decided more than a month ago		397	18%

+	I decided over the last month		465	23%

+	I decided after the Iowa caucus		348	17%

Sample: 1982 respondents

Which best describes when you decided how you would vote?

+	Decided before the Iowa caucus		1,634	83%

+	Decided after the Iowa caucus		348	17%

Sample: 1982 respondents

Which one of the following would you say is the most important issue facing the country?

+	The economy and jobs		534	30%

+	Health care		88	4%

+	Immigration		878	41%

+	Abortion		103	5%

+	Crime		45	3%

+	Gun policy		71	4%

+	Foreign policy		166	8%

+	School policy		21	1%

+	Energy policy		62	3%

Sample: 1968 respondents

Which best describes your family's financial situation? Are you...

+	Getting ahead		264	13%

+	Holding steady		1,215	60%

+	Falling behind		501	27%

Sample: 1980 respondents

Regardless of who you support, which candidate do you think will win the Republican nomination for president?

+	Donald Trump		1,579	79%

+	Nikki Haley		334	19%

+	Ron DeSantis		19	0%

+	Ryan Binkley		2	0%

+	Someone else		29	1%

Sample: 1963 respondents

Regardless of who you support, which candidate do you think will win the Republican nomination for president?

+	Donald Trump		1,579	79%

+	Someone else		384	20%

Sample: 1963 respondents

How important is each of the following qualities in the Republican nominee for president? Can win the general election in November

+	Very important		1,467	74%

+	Somewhat important		307	15%

+	Not too important		105	5%

+	Not at all important		88	4%

Sample: 1967 respondents

How important is each of the following qualities in the Republican nominee for president? Can win the general election in November

+	Important		1,774	89%

+	Not important		193	10%

Sample: 1967 respondents

How important is each of the following qualities in the Republican nominee for president? Has the best policy ideas

+	Very important		1,477	75%

+	Somewhat important		444	22%

+	Not too important		34	2%

+	Not at all important		15	1%

Sample: 1970 respondents

How important is each of the following qualities in the Republican nominee for president? Has the best policy ideas

+	Important		1,921	97%

+	Not important		49	2%

Sample: 1970 respondents

How important is each of the following qualities in the Republican nominee for president? Cares about people like you

+	Very important		1,369	72%

+	Somewhat important		490	23%

+	Not too important		84	3%

+	Not at all important		33	1%

Sample: 1976 respondents

How important is each of the following qualities in the Republican nominee for president? Cares about people like you

+	Important		1,859	95%

+	Not important		117	5%

Sample: 1976 respondents

How important is each of the following qualities in the Republican nominee for president? Is a strong leader

+	Very important		1,668	85%

+	Somewhat important		247	12%

+	Not too important		36	2%

+	Not at all important		20	1%

Sample: 1971 respondents

How important is each of the following qualities in the Republican nominee for president? Is a strong leader

+	Important		1,915	97%

+	Not important		56	3%

Sample: 1971 respondents

How important is each of the following qualities in the Republican nominee for president? Has the mental capability to serve effectively as president

+	Very important		1,881	95%

+	Somewhat important		69	3%

+	Not too important		15	1%

+	Not at all important		16	1%

Sample: 1981 respondents

How important is each of the following qualities in the Republican nominee for president? Has the mental capability to serve effectively as president

+	Important		1,950	98%

+	Not important		31	2%

Sample: 1981 respondents

How important is each of the following qualities in the Republican nominee for president? Is willing to break the rules to get things done

+	Very important		286	17%

+	Somewhat important		441	23%

+	Not too important		447	22%

+	Not at all important		742	36%

Sample: 1916 respondents

How important is each of the following qualities in the Republican nominee for president? Is willing to break the rules to get things done

+	Important		727	40%

+	Not important		1,189	58%

Sample: 1916 respondents

How important is each of the following qualities in the Republican nominee for president? Will work across party lines

+	Very important		1,183	62%

+	Somewhat important		567	27%

+	Not too important		150	7%

+	Not at all important		71	4%

Sample: 1971 respondents

How important is each of the following qualities in the Republican nominee for president? Will work across party lines

+	Important		1,750	89%

+	Not important		221	10%

Sample: 1971 respondents

For each of the following, please tell me how you would feel if that candidate were the Republican Party's presidential nominee? Donald Trump

+	Satisfied and would vote for them in November		1,028	53%

+	Dissatisfied but would still vote for them in November		273	12%

+	Dissatisfied enough that you would not vote for them in November		667	34%

Sample: 1968 respondents

For each of the following, please tell me how you would feel if that candidate were the Republican Party's presidential nominee? Donald Trump

+	Satisfied		1,028	53%

+	Not satisfied		940	46%

Sample: 1968 respondents

For each of the following, please tell me how you would feel if that candidate were the Republican Party's presidential nominee? Donald Trump

+	Would ultimately vote for them		1,301	65%

+	Would not ultimately vote for them		667	34%

Sample: 1968 respondents

For each of the following, please tell me how you would feel if that candidate were the Republican Party's presidential nominee? Ron DeSantis

+	Satisfied and would vote for them in November		554	24%

+	Dissatisfied but would still vote for them in November		557	28%

+	Dissatisfied enough that you would not vote for them in November		794	43%

Sample: 1905 respondents

For each of the following, please tell me how you would feel if that candidate were the Republican Party's presidential nominee? Ron DeSantis

+	Satisfied		554	24%

+	Not satisfied		1,351	72%

Sample: 1905 respondents

For each of the following, please tell me how you would feel if that candidate were the Republican Party's presidential nominee? Ron DeSantis

+	Would ultimately vote for them		1,111	52%

+	Would not ultimately vote for them		794	43%

Sample: 1905 respondents

For each of the following, please tell me how you would feel if that candidate were the Republican Party's presidential nominee? Nikki Haley

+	Satisfied and would vote for them in November		728	39%

+	Dissatisfied but would still vote for them in November		573	27%

+	Dissatisfied enough that you would not vote for them in November		637	32%

Sample: 1938 respondents

For each of the following, please tell me how you would feel if that candidate were the Republican Party's presidential nominee? Nikki Haley

+	Satisfied		728	39%

+	Not satisfied		1,210	59%

Sample: 1938 respondents

For each of the following, please tell me how you would feel if that candidate were the Republican Party's presidential nominee? Nikki Haley

+	Would ultimately vote for them		1,301	65%

+	Would not ultimately vote for them		637	32%

Sample: 1938 respondents

Regardless of who you support, how concerned are you that each candidate is too extreme to win the general election? Donald Trump

+	Very concerned		732	37%

+	Somewhat concerned		297	13%

+	Not too concerned		268	13%

+	Not at all concerned		670	36%

Sample: 1967 respondents

Regardless of who you support, how concerned are you that each candidate is too extreme to win the general election? Donald Trump

+	Very concerned or somewhat concerned		1,029	50%

+	Not too concerned or not at all concerned		938	49%

Sample: 1967 respondents

Regardless of who you support, how concerned are you that each candidate is too extreme to win the general election? Nikki Haley

+	Very concerned		290	15%

+	Somewhat concerned		369	19%

+	Not too concerned		591	29%

+	Not at all concerned		707	35%

Sample: 1957 respondents

Regardless of who you support, how concerned are you that each candidate is too extreme to win the general election? Nikki Haley

+	Very concerned or somewhat concerned		659	34%

+	Not too concerned or not at all concerned		1,298	64%

Sample: 1957 respondents

Regardless of who you support, how concerned are you that each candidate is too extreme to win the general election? Ron DeSantis

+	Very concerned		418	20%

+	Somewhat concerned		406	21%

+	Not too concerned		500	25%

+	Not at all concerned		614	31%

Sample: 1938 respondents

Regardless of who you support, how concerned are you that each candidate is too extreme to win the general election? Ron DeSantis

+	Very concerned or somewhat concerned		824	42%

+	Not too concerned or not at all concerned		1,114	56%

Sample: 1938 respondents

How much change would you like to see in how the country is run?

+	No change		31	2%

+	Small change		314	16%

+	Substantial change		1,121	54%

+	Complete and total upheaval		514	28%

Sample: 1980 respondents

How much change would you like to see in how the country is run?

+	No change or small change		345	17%

+	Substantial change or complete and total upheaval		1,635	82%

Sample: 1980 respondents

Do you think Joe Biden was legitimately elected president, or not?

+	Yes, legitimately elected		940	47%

+	No, not legitimately elected		1,014	51%

Sample: 1954 respondents

Do you consider yourself to be a supporter of the Make America Great Again, or MAGA, movement, or not?

+	Yes		990	48%

+	No		969	51%

Sample: 1959 respondents

Do you think Donald Trump has done something illegal, or he has done something unethical but not illegal, or do you think he has not done anything wrong when it comes to: The classified documents found at his Florida home

+	Illegal		652	32%

+	Unethical, but not illegal		556	30%

+	Nothing wrong		750	36%

Sample: 1958 respondents

Do you think Donald Trump has done something illegal, or he has done something unethical but not illegal, or do you think he has not done anything wrong when it comes to: His role in what happened at the U.S. Capitol on January 6, 2021

+	Illegal		526	26%

+	Unethical, but not illegal		526	28%

+	Nothing wrong		907	44%

Sample: 1959 respondents

Do you think Donald Trump has done something illegal, or he has done something unethical but not illegal, or do you think he has not done anything wrong when it comes to: His alleged attempt to interfere in the vote count in the 2020 presidential election

+	Illegal		622	32%

+	Unethical, but not illegal		496	24%

+	Nothing wrong		837	42%

Sample: 1955 respondents

When it comes to each of the following, do you think Donald Trump has done something illegal, or he has done something unethical, but not illegal, or do you think he has not done anything wrong?

+	Illegal on all		456	22%

+	Nothing wrong on all		556	28%

+	All others		974	50%

Sample: 1986 respondents

When it comes to each of the following, do you think Donald Trump has done something illegal, or he has done something unethical, but not illegal, or do you think he has not done anything wrong?

+	Illegal on at least one		752	38%

+	All others		1,234	62%

Sample: 1986 respondents

In general, which better describes your view of the charges against Donald Trump?

+	They're legitimate attempts to investigate important issues		661	34%

+	They're political attempts to undermine Trump		1,297	64%

Sample: 1958 respondents

How confident are you in the integrity of each of the following: Elections in the United States

+	Very confident		582	29%

+	Somewhat confident		598	28%

+	Not too confident		546	28%

+	Not at all confident		252	14%

Sample: 1978 respondents

How confident are you in the integrity of each of the following: Elections in the United States

+	Very/Somewhat confident		1,180	58%

+	Not too/Not at all confident		798	42%

Sample: 1978 respondents

How confident are you in the integrity of each of the following: Elections in your state

+	Very confident		1,039	51%

+	Somewhat confident		687	34%

+	Not too confident		195	11%

+	Not at all confident		58	4%

Sample: 1979 respondents

How confident are you in the integrity of each of the following: Elections in your state

+	Very/Somewhat confident		1,726	85%

+	Not too/Not at all confident		253	14%

Sample: 1979 respondents

How confident are you in the integrity of each of the following: U.S. democracy in general

+	Very confident		320	16%

+	Somewhat confident		772	37%

+	Not too confident		631	31%

+	Not at all confident		245	14%

Sample: 1968 respondents

How confident are you in the integrity of each of the following: U.S. democracy in general

+	Very/Somewhat confident		1,092	54%

+	Not too/Not at all confident		876	45%

Sample: 1968 respondents

How confident are you in the integrity of each of the following: The U.S. legal system

+	Very confident		273	14%

+	Somewhat confident		699	33%

+	Not too confident		615	31%

+	Not at all confident		390	21%

Sample: 1977 respondents

How confident are you in the integrity of each of the following: The U.S. legal system

+	Very/Somewhat confident		972	47%

+	Not too/Not at all confident		1,005	52%

Sample: 1977 respondents

Do you think immigrants in the U.S. today do more to...

+	Help the country		575	28%

+	Hurt the country		1,316	68%

Sample: 1891 respondents

Do you favor or oppose each of the following? Building a wall along the U.S.-Mexico border

+	Strongly favor		1,229	61%

+	Somewhat favor		336	18%

+	Somewhat oppose		192	10%

+	Strongly oppose		215	10%

Sample: 1972 respondents

Do you favor or oppose each of the following? Building a wall along the U.S.-Mexico border

+	Strongly/Somewhat favor		1,565	79%

+	Strongly/Somewhat oppose		407	21%

Sample: 1972 respondents

Which comes closest to your opinion on abortion? Should abortion be...

+	Legal in all cases		300	14%

+	Legal in most cases		776	41%

+	Illegal in most cases		704	34%

+	Illegal in all cases		161	8%

Sample: 1941 respondents

Which comes closest to your opinion on abortion? Should abortion be...

+	Legal in all/most cases		1,076	55%

+	Illegal in all/most cases		865	42%

Sample: 1941 respondents

Do you favor or oppose each of the following? Banning most abortions after 6 weeks of pregnancy

+	Strongly favor		486	23%

+	Somewhat favor		338	16%

+	Somewhat oppose		407	22%

+	Strongly oppose		708	37%

Sample: 1939 respondents

Do you favor or oppose each of the following? Banning most abortions after 6 weeks of pregnancy

+	Strongly/Somewhat favor		824	39%

+	Strongly/Somewhat oppose		1,115	58%

Sample: 1939 respondents

Do you favor or oppose each of the following? Banning most abortions after 15 weeks of pregnancy

+	Strongly favor		800	39%

+	Somewhat favor		450	23%

+	Somewhat oppose		249	14%

+	Strongly oppose		444	22%

Sample: 1943 respondents

Do you favor or oppose each of the following? Banning most abortions after 15 weeks of pregnancy

+	Strongly/Somewhat favor		1,250	62%

+	Strongly/Somewhat oppose		693	36%

Sample: 1943 respondents

In general, do you think the United States should take a more active or less active role solving the world's problems, or is its current role about right?

+	More active		355	16%

+	Less active		975	51%

+	Its current role is about right		633	31%

Sample: 1963 respondents

Do you favor or oppose each of the following? Continuing aid to Ukraine in the war against Russia

+	Strongly favor		512	25%

+	Somewhat favor		524	26%

+	Somewhat oppose		391	20%

+	Strongly oppose		538	28%

Sample: 1965 respondents

Do you favor or oppose each of the following? Continuing aid to Ukraine in the war against Russia

+	Strongly/Somewhat favor		1,036	51%

+	Strongly/Somewhat oppose		929	48%

Sample: 1965 respondents

Do you favor or oppose each of the following? Continuing aid to Israel to fight Hamas

+	Strongly favor		720	33%

+	Somewhat favor		628	31%

+	Somewhat oppose		337	18%

+	Strongly oppose		273	16%

Sample: 1958 respondents

Do you favor or oppose each of the following? Continuing aid to Israel to fight Hamas

+	Strongly/Somewhat favor		1,348	64%

+	Strongly/Somewhat oppose		610	34%

Sample: 1958 respondents

Do you think your local public K-8 schools are teaching too much, too little, or about the right amount on issues related to each of the following? Racism in the U.S.

+	Too much		921	44%

+	Too little		453	23%

+	About right		527	27%

Sample: 1901 respondents

Do you think your local public K-8 schools are teaching too much, too little, or about the right amount on issues related to each of the following? Sexual orientation

+	Too much		1,339	67%

+	Too little		162	8%

+	About right		416	20%

Sample: 1917 respondents

Do you think your local public K-8 schools are teaching too much, too little, or about the right amount on issues related to each of the following? Gender identity

+	Too much		1,383	70%

+	Too little		159	8%

+	About right		375	18%

Sample: 1917 respondents

Below are some different groups of people. Is discrimination or prejudice against that group in our country a major problem, minor problem, or not a problem at all? Black or African American people

+	Major problem		520	27%

+	Minor problem		948	49%

+	Not a problem		478	22%

Sample: 1946 respondents

Below are some different groups of people. Is discrimination or prejudice against that group in our country a major problem, minor problem, or not a problem at all? Hispanic or Latino people

+	Major problem		349	17%

+	Minor problem		1,032	53%

+	Not a problem		564	28%

Sample: 1945 respondents

Below are some different groups of people. Is discrimination or prejudice against that group in our country a major problem, minor problem, or not a problem at all? White people

+	Major problem		454	24%

+	Minor problem		715	36%

+	Not a problem		781	37%

Sample: 1950 respondents

Below are some different groups of people. Is discrimination or prejudice against that group in our country a major problem, minor problem, or not a problem at all? Asian American people

+	Major problem		419	21%

+	Minor problem		1,022	50%

+	Not a problem		501	26%

Sample: 1942 respondents

Do you favor or oppose each of the following? Increasing funding for police

+	Strongly favor		999	52%

+	Somewhat favor		703	33%

+	Somewhat oppose		186	9%

+	Strongly oppose		71	3%

Sample: 1959 respondents

Do you favor or oppose each of the following? Increasing funding for police

+	Strongly/Somewhat favor		1,702	86%

+	Strongly/Somewhat oppose		257	12%

Sample: 1959 respondents

Do you favor or oppose each of the following? Raising the age when people become eligible for full Social Security benefits from 67 to 70

+	Strongly favor		165	7%

+	Somewhat favor		412	19%

+	Somewhat oppose		478	25%

+	Strongly oppose		914	48%

Sample: 1969 respondents

Do you favor or oppose each of the following? Raising the age when people become eligible for full Social Security benefits from 67 to 70

+	Strongly/Somewhat favor		577	26%

+	Strongly/Somewhat oppose		1,392	73%

Sample: 1969 respondents

Do you favor or oppose each of the following? Expanding U.S. production of fossil fuels, such as oil and gas

+	Strongly favor		1,184	58%

+	Somewhat favor		426	23%

+	Somewhat oppose		216	12%

+	Strongly oppose		145	6%

Sample: 1971 respondents

Do you favor or oppose each of the following? Expanding U.S. production of fossil fuels, such as oil and gas

+	Strongly/Somewhat favor		1,610	81%

+	Strongly/Somewhat oppose		361	18%

Sample: 1971 respondents

In which of these categories is your total yearly household income, that is, of everyone living in your family household? Was your total household income in 2023...

+	Under $25,000		89	6%

+	$25,000-$49,999		273	18%

+	$50,000-$74,999		350	16%

+	$75,000-$99,999		375	19%

+	$100,000 or more		842	42%

Sample: 1929 respondents

Was your total household income in 2023...

+	Under $50,000		362	23%

+	$50,000-$99,999		725	35%

+	$100,000 or more		842	42%

Sample: 1929 respondents

Was your total household income in 2023...

+	Under $50,000		362	23%

+	$50,000 or more		1,567	77%

Sample: 1929 respondents

Are you registered to vote as a Democrat, as a Republican, with another party, or are you not affiliated with any party?

+	Democrat		0	0%

+	Republican		1,282	53%

+	Another party		0	0%

+	Not affiliated with any party		704	47%

Sample: 1986 respondents

Filter Questions

How To Read These Tables

About FNVA

New Hampshire Republican Primary